{
  "alternative_explanation_ledger": [
    {
      "alternative_id": "alternative:v740:profiling-classification-safeguards:01",
      "distinguishing_evidence": "Pre-register a variable or matched case able to separate this explanation from the proposed mechanism.",
      "explanation": "selection effects",
      "status": "UNTESTED"
    },
    {
      "alternative_id": "alternative:v740:profiling-classification-safeguards:02",
      "distinguishing_evidence": "Pre-register a variable or matched case able to separate this explanation from the proposed mechanism.",
      "explanation": "reporting differences",
      "status": "UNTESTED"
    },
    {
      "alternative_id": "alternative:v740:profiling-classification-safeguards:03",
      "distinguishing_evidence": "Pre-register a variable or matched case able to separate this explanation from the proposed mechanism.",
      "explanation": "resource variation",
      "status": "UNTESTED"
    },
    {
      "alternative_id": "alternative:v740:profiling-classification-safeguards:04",
      "distinguishing_evidence": "Pre-register a variable or matched case able to separate this explanation from the proposed mechanism.",
      "explanation": "legal eligibility",
      "status": "UNTESTED"
    },
    {
      "alternative_id": "alternative:v740:profiling-classification-safeguards:05",
      "distinguishing_evidence": "Pre-register a variable or matched case able to separate this explanation from the proposed mechanism.",
      "explanation": "administrative capacity",
      "status": "UNTESTED"
    },
    {
      "alternative_id": "alternative:v740:profiling-classification-safeguards:06",
      "distinguishing_evidence": "Pre-register a variable or matched case able to separate this explanation from the proposed mechanism.",
      "explanation": "geographic composition",
      "status": "UNTESTED"
    },
    {
      "alternative_id": "alternative:v740:profiling-classification-safeguards:07",
      "distinguishing_evidence": "Pre-register a variable or matched case able to separate this explanation from the proposed mechanism.",
      "explanation": "data quality",
      "status": "UNTESTED"
    },
    {
      "alternative_id": "alternative:v740:profiling-classification-safeguards:08",
      "distinguishing_evidence": "Pre-register a variable or matched case able to separate this explanation from the proposed mechanism.",
      "explanation": "policy timing",
      "status": "UNTESTED"
    },
    {
      "alternative_id": "alternative:v740:profiling-classification-safeguards:09",
      "distinguishing_evidence": "Pre-register a variable or matched case able to separate this explanation from the proposed mechanism.",
      "explanation": "unrelated institutional change",
      "status": "UNTESTED"
    },
    {
      "alternative_id": "alternative:v740:profiling-classification-safeguards:10",
      "distinguishing_evidence": "Pre-register a variable or matched case able to separate this explanation from the proposed mechanism.",
      "explanation": "measurement definition",
      "status": "UNTESTED"
    },
    {
      "alternative_id": "alternative:v740:profiling-classification-safeguards:11",
      "distinguishing_evidence": "Pre-register a variable or matched case able to separate this explanation from the proposed mechanism.",
      "explanation": "sample composition",
      "status": "UNTESTED"
    }
  ],
  "assessment_change_register": [
    {
      "automatic_adjudication": false,
      "change": "STRENGTHEN",
      "required_evidence": "Multiple exact primary records document consecutive mechanism stages and the same directional pattern appears in both comparisons."
    },
    {
      "automatic_adjudication": false,
      "change": "NARROW",
      "required_evidence": "Records support the pathway only for a specified role, institution, jurisdiction, period, or policy state."
    },
    {
      "automatic_adjudication": false,
      "change": "WEAKEN",
      "required_evidence": "A valid matched comparison shows the same pattern without the proposed process or records support an alternative more directly."
    },
    {
      "automatic_adjudication": false,
      "change": "REVERSE",
      "required_evidence": "Reliable records show the proposed directional relationship is opposite within the pre-registered scope."
    },
    {
      "automatic_adjudication": false,
      "change": "DEFEAT",
      "required_evidence": "The proposed process is absent, temporally impossible, or contradicted by controlling records in the fixed scope."
    }
  ],
  "causation_status": "NOT_ESTABLISHED",
  "central_question": "Within a jurisdiction and review period fixed before evidence collection, under what conditions might a proposed classification process connect Algorithmic Profiling and Associational Profiling and Political or Ideological Profiling and Racial Profiling and Religious Profiling for people subject to or dependent on that process, compared with a matched institution or jurisdiction where the connection is not observed, and what evidence would weaken or defeat that explanation?",
  "change_log": [
    {
      "change_class": "APPLICATION_RESEARCH_PACKAGE",
      "change_id": "change:v740:profiling-classification-safeguards:package-created",
      "date": "2026-08-30T00:00:00Z",
      "statement": "Created an evidence-incomplete comparative package from the sealed v7.39 Research Object; no evidence state was promoted."
    }
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    {
      "allowed_public_language": "The application assembled a bounded question from governed metadata.",
      "blocked_public_language": "The intersection or proposed mechanism is proven.",
      "claim_id": "claim:v739:profiling-classification-safeguards:scope",
      "claim_text": "The v7.38 governed metadata profile joins 5 constituent issue records into a bounded research question.",
      "claim_type": "COMPILER_BACKGROUND",
      "contrary_evidence": "Not applicable to the existence of the application records; their real-world implications remain untested.",
      "evidence_state": "BACKGROUND_CONTEXT",
      "exact_locators": [
        "/research/insights/?view=research-leverage&profile=leverage:v738:44b07eb365e0ae1b73e1",
        "/data/research-leverage-v738/research-leverage-profiles.v1.json"
      ],
      "limitations": "Metadata association does not establish a real-world relationship, exposure, consequence, causation, intent, or culpability.",
      "source_ids": [
        "leverage:v738:44b07eb365e0ae1b73e1",
        "question:v737:01dcab42290640ba838a",
        "k5:7b3ae9a9bfcbb2f60204"
      ],
      "supporting_evidence": "The deterministic compiler and profile register establish only this application-level assembly."
    },
    {
      "allowed_public_language": "The object proposes a mechanism for investigation.",
      "blocked_public_language": "The mechanism is a finding or confirmed causal explanation.",
      "claim_id": "claim:v739:profiling-classification-safeguards:mechanism",
      "claim_text": "A classification process process could connect the constituent issues through the displayed mechanism chain.",
      "claim_type": "MECHANISM_HYPOTHESIS",
      "contrary_evidence": "Not yet acquired; plausible alternatives are recorded separately.",
      "evidence_state": "HYPOTHESIS_ONLY",
      "exact_locators": [],
      "limitations": "Jurisdiction, institution, population, timeframe, process, and consequence remain to be fixed and evidenced.",
      "source_ids": [],
      "supporting_evidence": "None acquired for the proposed real-world mechanism."
    },
    {
      "allowed_public_language": "A negative-case comparison is planned.",
      "blocked_public_language": "The comparison supports or defeats the mechanism before records are acquired.",
      "claim_id": "claim:v739:profiling-classification-safeguards:comparison",
      "claim_text": "A matched contrasting case can test whether the proposed process is necessary to the observed pattern.",
      "claim_type": "COMPARATIVE_DESIGN",
      "contrary_evidence": "A matched case showing the same pattern without the process would weaken the hypothesis.",
      "evidence_state": "BLOCKED_PENDING_EVIDENCE",
      "exact_locators": [],
      "limitations": "Comparability criteria and records must be fixed before results may be interpreted.",
      "source_ids": [],
      "supporting_evidence": "No case evidence acquired."
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      "alternative_explanations": [
        "selection effects",
        "reporting differences",
        "resource variation",
        "administrative capacity",
        "measurement definition"
      ],
      "comparison_id": "comparison:v740:profiling-classification-safeguards:eligibility-classification",
      "comparison_type": "SIMILAR_POPULATIONS_DIFFERENT_ELIGIBILITY_CLASSIFICATIONS",
      "data_limitations": "No case, primary record, dataset, denominator, or measurement definition has yet been acquired; comparability remains untested.",
      "denominators": [
        "all in-scope decisions or encounters in each case",
        "all people meeting the pre-registered eligibility rule"
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      "exclusions": [
        "records outside the pre-registered period",
        "unmatched aggregates",
        "records whose population or decision unit cannot be resolved"
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      "expected_mechanism": "If classification drives the proposed pathway, process and remedy measures should differ after other pre-registered variables are held constant.",
      "inclusions": [
        "records inside the fixed jurisdiction, institution, period, role, and policy state",
        "records with a stable join key or documented aggregate denominator"
      ],
      "institution": "Comparable implementing units within the same institutional system",
      "jurisdiction": "One jurisdiction, to be named before acquisition",
      "policy_state": "Classification A versus Classification B under the same surrounding rule",
      "population_or_stakeholder_role": "People in comparable roles who differ only on a documented eligibility classification",
      "status": "DESIGN_READY_EVIDENCE_NOT_ACQUIRED",
      "timeframe": "A review period fixed before acquisition, with aligned start and end dates for both cases",
      "unit_of_analysis": "one administrative classification decision",
      "variables": [
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        "eligible_population_denominator",
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        "measurement definition"
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      "comparison_id": "comparison:v740:profiling-classification-safeguards:safeguard-presence",
      "comparison_type": "INSTITUTION_WITH_SAFEGUARD_COMPARABLE_INSTITUTION_WITHOUT_SAFEGUARD",
      "data_limitations": "No case, primary record, dataset, denominator, or measurement definition has yet been acquired; comparability remains untested.",
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      "expected_mechanism": "A functioning safeguard should alter notice, review, correction, or outcome pathways if the proposed mechanism is operative.",
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      "institution": "One implementing institution with a documented safeguard and one comparable institution without it",
      "jurisdiction": "Matched jurisdictions or one shared jurisdiction",
      "policy_state": "Documented safeguard present versus safeguard absent",
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      "population": "FIX_ROLE_AND_ELIGIBILITY_BEFORE_ACQUISITION",
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      "population": "FIX_ROLE_AND_ELIGIBILITY_BEFORE_ACQUISITION",
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      "unit": "count",
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        "remedy_use_count"
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      "limitation": "No named entity, affiliation, representation, position, or impact is inferred.",
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}
